the Chinese year of “the tiger” what might it mean?
it could mean, that China, thinks, because 2022 is the (Chinese zodiac) “year of the tiger” it’s time to succeed the US-Empire in global domination has come.
big brother (Russia) agains small brother (Ukraine)
What is Biden’s strategy?
Biden’s strategy is to get re-elected.
We just hope and pray he will not go full Bush-Walker-style and kill 3000 of his own people in an pearl-harbor artificially for him created “incident”, to get re-elected.
Also US (of course) wants to stay the supreme global petro-Dollar-power, and does not like rivals (China) and even disliked nuclear power (in the beginning) because it could weaken the petro-Dollar.
So it is likely that with an invasion of Ukraine a full-scale (very expensive for both sides) trade war between West (US-EU) and East (Russia-China) might emerge – hurting EVERYONE, “great” isn’t it?
What is Putin’s strategy?
Putin of course wants NATO to stay away from his border and thus wants a clear NO to eastward expansion of NATO (as promised MANY TIMES but never put on paper and signed by US-NATO, first in 1990).
Another theory: Putin COULD feel threatened by an Ukraine economy that “does well” on Western subventions (basically the money of all the other countries of the EU-NATO is used to build up the economy of Ukraine, so it looks good and Russians want the same = revolt in Russia)
So what is next to expect?
Military expert, director of the World Arms Trade Analysis Center Igor Korotchenko: “Russia should place its military contingent on the territory of the DPR and LPR.”
“He described what events would follow the recognition of the independence of the Donbass republics.”
“The expert is convinced that the military contingent of the Russian Federation is able to protect people from attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”
“Now the common security space of Russia – the DPR – LPR will appear. In case of continued aggression by the Armed Forces – the force neutralization of the Ukrainian invasion group, ”Korotchenko explained.”
auto translated from source: https://sm.news/voennyj-ekspert-korotchenko-raspisal-dalnejshie-dejstviya-rossii-v-donbasse-68511/
the picture of this article suggests (soldier holding hand in front of his eyes)
a lot of Russians (except for the hardcore “patriots” “right-wing” “nationalists” as Korotchenko) seem to dislike more Russian military adventures with unlikely outcomes.
Another critical tweet auto translated:
Putin rises the stakes in this US-NATO vs Russia-China proxy poker game.
Will the Ukrainians – now that the Russian army is OFFICIALLY in DPR and LPR regions – really stop firing shells?
I hope so, but this is absolutely uncertain.
Will Russia REALLY start the invasion, as soon as the first Russian solider was OFFICIALLY killed by Ukrainian soldiers?
Putin is right: OF COURSE US-NATO wanted to build Ukraine up as a proxy-stronghold against Russia as they did with all other countries with subsidies (Germany (Marshall Plan), Poland, many East European countries).
Also – of course – US and Russia do not want to get into conflict DIRECTLY, because Russian bombs falling on US soil would something completely unwanted by the US.
Russian bombs on Europe’s soil is okay for the US. (would of course prefer as expensive as possible US bombs).
The sad story about NATO: not very democratic
NATO IS DEFACTO UNDER US CONTROL and they will NEVER give that up, NATO members would have to say “will quit”.
IMHO that COULD MEAN NOBODY (?) (ESPECIALLY NOT THE US COMMANDERS IN CHIEF) have learned the history lesson of WORLD WAR 1.
It is VERY VERY DANGEROUS to constantly enlarge alliances + piling up on weapons (with the argument the other side does it too).
Woodrow Wilson was elected USA president – because he promised his people to keep them out of the war – 5 months later the USA joined the war against the central powers – German Empire, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Empire, Bulgaria.”
He said German philosophy was essentially selfish and lacking in spirituality. (Trump’s “America First” means: egoism/selfishness)
When I spoke of the Kaiser building up the German machine as a means of maintaining peace, he said,
“What a foolish thing it was to create a powder magazine and risk someone’s dropping a spark into it!”
that constantly increases the risk of WORLD WAR! (either US is stupid or deliberate)
Even worse: Shit is getting worse in Bosnia-Herzegovina AGAIN, with Serbian (Russian allies) elections coming up End of 2022 and nationalists wanting to break away from the construct (let em have their freedom X-D)
More or less “fun” fact:
The “minor” incident that triggered world war 1 was: Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and his wife got shot by an Bosnian Serb student (rebels against the Austrian empire) in Sarajevo (capital of Bosnia-Herzegovina).
to sum it up: why could World War 1 happen?
“to increase security”: the “requirements” (and thus real reasons that made world war 1 possible) was the MASSIVE (for no reason) military stockpiling of weapons and the buildup of big alliance (today US-NATO), that when one nation get’s “attacked”, the other nation would have to help.
As Mr Woodrow Wilson righteously pointed out, this does not increase security, quiet the opposite: who would build up a lot of powder kegs and then risk someone dropping a matchstick.
As Russia righteously points out: You can not increase the security of one nation, by increasing the cost (the risk) for another nation.
Who to trust?
“The first casualty of War is Truth” (unkown source)
A great as independent as possible news outlet covering the story from the outside is: https://www.aljazeera.com/
(run a video search https://ytpak.net/search?q=aljazeera+ukraine)