in an ideal world a system would foster social learning (the “natural” way how humans learn? by example (hopefully drawing the right conclusions) & from each other))
a system that incentivises stupidity & mistakes is a stupid system
(example the car industry knows people buy cars (unfortunately) mostly by emotions (big 2t SUV that make people feel important) and if the parts are designed to break after 3 years (they hope) to make 25% extra) – if the incentive here is maximum profit – the car companies did everything right – even if they in reality created a complete catastrophe for everyone
if most of mankind have no long term experience what “destroying the planet” means, then they ought to be send on free “school trips” to the parts of the planet that are already polluted & became a desert, than they will understand & hopefully draw the right conclusion, just as EVERY citizen of former GDR (east Germany under soviet rule) had to visit a Nazi concentration camp (it’s optional in West Germany and bet most West Germans born after that 1960s did never visit such a place… Why would they? Its more fun & less depressing at a theme park, but there is also lot less to learn in theme parks)
Mr Bregman has an excellent awareness towards injustice and righteously points out, that 1500 private jets flying into Davos, talking about philanthropy and how to prevent climate change, is very contradictionary.
What Mr Bregman is not: He is not a Psychologist, He is not a Neurologist or Biologist (would HIGHLY recommend Mr Bregman to team up with one, for example the EXCELLENT Neurobiologist PhD. Gerald Hüther and then UPDATE the book (that might depress a lot of readers – unnecessarily).
Mr Bregman in his book “Human kind” he tries to understand why Babies and Children prefer other people that are similar to themselves (similar taste, color, clothes).
Because Children want to survive, they fear “the unkown” (dangers), and prefer the known (risks).
It has NOTHING to do with “Babies being xenophobic” or “racists.
Certain animals like weasels have “build-in” friend-and-foe detection system.
Show them a picture of a chicken, and they know it’s not dangerous.
Show them a picture of a fox, and they are in fear.
Are weasels animal-phobics? No they (too) simply want to survive and avoid the fox.
So what is the difference between humans and animals?
Imho humans (should be able) to learn faster than other species.
So these are the two things everyone HAS to believe in:
humans can learn
according to Bregman animals learn too, but humans are the best at “social” learning (aka learning from each other!!! the internet, youtube, a giant learning-from-each-other-machine?)
humans can be civilized
With those two believes, come two questions:
Q1: no civilized rule set ever was perfect, who is in charge for improving it? (hopefully not the incompetent & corrupt?)
Q2: will humans learn fast enough to escape “the great filters” of evolution, aka prevent disasters from happening, with unrestricted CAPITALISM CLEARLY NOT INCENTIVIZING = PREVENTING LEARNING & super (with exceptions) rich & the banks do not feel responsible for the survival of their own species…?
SHOULD the incentives of EVERY system be placed on maximum survivability of the species = maximum sustainability of lifestyles?
Would it be UTTER stupidity to NOT do that? (yes)
Bregman & The Neaderthals
Mr Bregman makes COMPLETELY FALSE ASSUMPTIONS, that a bigger brain, would equal to more intelligence.
On average: women have smaller brains, are they less intelligent?
No: ‘”Just like with height, there is a pretty substantial difference between males and females in brain volume, but this doesn’t translate into a difference in cognitive performance,” Nave says.’ (labroots.com)
If that was true, the “sperm wale” (having the biggest brain of all animals), would already have build a swimming pool on Mars.
What can not be ruled out, is that the “evilness” of homo sapiens accelerated the extinction of the Neanderthals.
BUT there might also been partnerships between them.
“results of a 2010 project to map the Neanderthal genome showed that 1% to 4% of Middle Eastern and European DNA is Neanderthal DNA” (shortform.com)
“Neanderthals were fairly specialized to hunt large, Ice Age animals.”
“But sometimes being specialized isn’t such a good strategy.”
“When climates changed and some of those animals went extinct, the Neanderthals may have been more vulnerable to starvation.” (si.edu)
Assumption: While homo sapiens (probably) was here and there in conflict with the Neanderthals, imho homo sapiens was not the deciding factor when it comes to extinction of this species.
Same as the mammoth, the neanderthals (probably) fell victim of:
(too fast) changing climate/environment
not being able to adapt fast enough
… with ever faster climate change, a dire situation, homo sapiens will have to face too.
During the time of the Dinosaurs, there were no homo sapiens (so this time can’t blame them)
Dinosaurs had no capitalism and clearly did not a good job at
early detecting asteroids
early redirecting (pushing away) asteroids
Mankind could do better, but will it do it?
Because what is for sure: if mankind sees a crisis coming, and does nothing, everyone can see that chances of survival for mankind are not great.
Right now the evolution of technology is remarkable, but what has not kept up is the evolution of inter-human civilization in the sense of a civilized living together – sustainably (non-sustainable means: it is going to end).
Settling on Mars will be a hard thing to do, especially if not a lot more of the 1% invest into
making earth a better place
even if Elon & Bezos think they can do it on their own, even with unlimited money, it will be VERY hard for them to make Mars a place where humans can breathe.
The super rich 1% do not live in a complete vacuum,
they too depend on a functional society
a nation with roads without holes …
a society that is NOT in a civil war like state
a society, where everyone rich & poor can feel save, (or even better, where there is a strong middle class) that does not rob & kidnap rich people on a daily basis (as it is already happening in countries such as Brazil… where children of the better-off will have to drive in bullet-proof jeeps through various checkpoints to kindergarden… it takes 30min (!!!) just to pass all checkpoints, #what #the #serious #fuck?,
a company ALWAYS reports a loss, in those countries with high tax rate, to avoid tax (it is THE oldest tax avoidance trick in history)
if the loss is a real loss or just a fake loss (that can be artificially created by let’s say a sub-company – registered in a tax heaven, that charges the mother-company “license fees” (or whatever) – will OF COURSE artificially reduce the net income of the mother company) SHOULD be visible in the stock price of that company
hopefully mankind can learn fast enough, to get out of these systemic self destructive systems trap… not learning is unsustainable in the sense, that “it will end” (all of it)
gov laws like software development?: garbage collection for laws?
ok some rules clearly make no sense (some are from 1936 and definately need a rethinking).
Also Elon is right, when he says, there needs some sort of “garbage” collection of laws, otherwise, law is cluttered with laws that either make no sense or tie down everyone until nobody can do anything (because everything is forbidden).
BUT: the major problem is like with an old software system like MS DOS.
Can it be reformed? (very hard)
Or: (depending if the mess can be reformed, sometimes it might be better to “start from scratch”)
As with in software development: a list of cases needs to be kept, to test, if the new system can handle them all and better.
PS: Mr Bregman, rather than writing books, what about writing a blog?
Because: A paperback book that contains errors, is much harder to update, than a blog post. (also printing books wastes resources).
(it SHOULD be enough to instead of printing out the whole internet, just every once in a while protect it against mass extinction events with backups to M-DISCs that are then stored in a fire proof vault).
“According to Millenniata, the U.S. Naval Air Warfare Center Weapons Division of the U.S. Department of Defense found that M-DISC DVDs are much more durable than conventional DVDs. “The discs were subject to the following test conditions in the environmental chamber: 85 °C (185 °F), 85% relative humidity (conditions specified in ECMA-379) and full-spectrum light“.“
Ukraine crisis for Russia – there is a opportunity / possibility for positive development in every crisis
and don’t mean this in the way a finance speculator would gamble on rising oil and food prices (hope they fail).
It is understandable that the collapse of the Soviet Union was a catastrophe to those that had state guaranteed jobs and income there and lost them overnight.
A lot of people could not adapt to the new capitalistic system, where you had to organize almost EVERYTHING yourself and “everything” is suddenly “a product” with a price set by supply and demand (previously the state had organized EVERYTHING and the price for rent was set by the state very low, $75 per month kind of low).
Capitalism has started as a good idea then perverted over time.
Communism/Socialism started as a good idea, but it was perverted.
Vladimir Putin + his military advisors clearly have underestimated the will power of the Ukrainian people to resist a Russia, that just as the Soviet Union under Stalin wants to rule, not by the promise of a better future, but simply by violence and fear.
The “Blitzkrieg” has failed, with hefty losses also for the Russians of at least 10,000 soldiers, and many more will die on both sides, needlessly, senselessly, if Putin does not end this. But ending it he must. Ending it he can.
Putin himself has children.
Who wants such a “fate” or such a world for one’s children?
Let’s assume Putin wants to be the Zar of Russia, just as Trump wants to be King of America and Boris Johnson Queen of UK.
History did not go well for the Zar family in Russia.
The Zars actually planned to step down from power and create a republic after British example, where the King and Queen gave up most of it’s political power to an elected parliament, but kept some of their privileges (any oil found around New Zealand, belongs to the British Crown).
The Queen lived well with that model and is even deeply respected by most Britons.
But the Bolshevik revolution was faster with their reforms and killed the Zar family.
So if Putin does not want to end like this, he should stop the war in Ukraine immediately and start reforming Russia into a social democracy IMMEDIATELY.
(there is corruption now in Russia as there will be in democracy, so no difference there)
Social democracy being the best of both worlds, the government that needs to take cares about it’s people, and has gov owned banks and companies and the market mechanisms that create efficiency and innovation.
Sounds good to me. (the Wiki article on “social democracy” is over complicated, it is rather simple: a state, that does not give citizens to a brutally free market for exploitation, but a state that plays by the rules of a free market, while making rules and regulations that the free privately owned companies may not overstep without a fine, protecting and caring about it’s citizens and nature, because that is the DUTY of EVERY state).
PS: I know that Putin considers Gorbachev to be weak.
But do not mistake kindness with weakness.
Correct me if wrong, but the reason the Soviet Union collapsed, was not because it did not drop enough bombs on other countries, but because it’s economic system was dysfunctional/highly inefficient/wasteful, because nobody cared if it was productive or not.
Because nobody owned anything and thus did not care if it breaks, did not care to repair and maintain it.
May there be peace soon, as this world does not need more hatred.
if you need to conquer something, conquer the stars.